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Grade Retention Policy Is A Failure

 

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State Education Data Indicate Florida’s FCAT Based Grade Retention Policy Is A Failure

By Robert R. Lange
September 20, 2006

LAKE MARY, FL - - September 20, 2006 - - A 2002 Florida law mandates that third grade students with low FCAT reading scores (scores at level 1) be required to repeat grade three. The one-year and two-year follow-up achievement data collected by the Florida Department of Education were reported by Greene and Winters of the Manhattan Institute For Policy Research.

Similar to the one-year impact data (December, 2004), the two-year impact data (September, 2006) demonstrated that the reading achievement of retained students showed trivial or very small improvements. Retained students’ FCAT reading test scores remained notably below the average score of their younger grade peers. Recently those who control the Florida legislature and Governor Bush claimed that holding kids back would allow slower learning students to catch-up with their grade peers. As was predicted by those who have studied the long-term impact of such unfounded beliefs, fairy-tails don’t come true.

The findings in Florida are in close agreement with the many previous studies of the impact of grade-level retention. There were very small initial achievement improvements one to two years after a child’s grade “failure”. Most often, the improvements were short-lived. By grade 5,6, and 7 children who were one or two years older then their classmates tended to remain at the lower end of the learning achievement scale and most often dropped-out of school by the end of grade 10.

The Florida FCAT reading cut-off score for Level 1 was near the 23rd percentile. That means that approximately 77% of third grade students passed the test and qualified for promotion. Although only about half of students who had level 1 scores were actually retained, the outcome for most of the retained students has not been good. Compared to nearly similar promoted students, retained students had a one-year achievement gain of only 1 to 2 percentile points and 5 percentile points after two years.

Researchers use effect-size to evaluate the impact of new actions. The effect-size for the Florida law was small, no more then .15 at the very best and much smaller in most comparisons.

Most all measurement and data analysis experts have classified the percentile and effect-size comparisons found in the Florida data as trivial or very small. Small enough to be classified as indicators of a failed school intervention.

Contrary to widely accepted standard interpretations of data, the report from the Manhattan Institute claimed that the results support the use of grade retention for improving student achievement.

Wise readers will note that the Manhattan Institute’s stated goal is to support the conservative political agenda and to influence public policy in a direction desired by big business and the wealthy. At the same time, this writer has a long reputation as a supporter of liberal child-centered strategies for improving student achievement.

Research data are always meaningless until interpreted. Researchers with different agendas can always see divergent meanings when reviewing data.

Florida’s A+ plan for education has experienced other failures. Florida now has the highest or nearly the highest school dropout rate in the nation. Each year approximately 1,000 Students are being required to stay in grade three for a third time. Higher and higher percentages of students at every grade level are two or more years older then their grade-level school-mates. School-level grading formulas are secret and have changed from year to year but continue to reflect average household incomes. Art, music, physical education and non-tested content are reduced or eliminated for much of the school year. More and more teachers have become discouraged and leave the field.

Sure, FCAT test scores have shown some improvement. But measurement experts have noted that average scores on standardized tests such as the FCAT most always increase over time. The gradual increase reflects natural test corruption as teachers become more familiar with non-changing test items and test formats.

In Florida, the test corruption and higher scores were likely caused by such natural test corruption and by Florida Department of Education tweaking of the test scoring process. Such tweaking was suggested in comments made by Education Commissioner John L. Winn.

Bush’s A+ plan for education seems to be designed to ensure that the rich get richer and the poor get poorer. Perhaps, the plan was put together by persons who enjoy kicking those who are down or have fallen behind.

Robert R. Lange
Retired Professor of Educational Research
e-mail qida@bellsouth.net
phone: 407 322-6234

 

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Last modified: 06/15/08